Detection of COVID-19 Severity and Mortality from Blood Parameters by Ensemble Learning Methods

Abstract

COVID-19 is a pandemic that causes a high rate of spread and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS). Severe pneumonia in infected individuals has resulted in too many patients being admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). This has placed unprecedented pressure on health systems by exceeding capacities. It is essential to detect the prognosis of this disease so that the health systems can remain active and the conditions of the patients who need to be hospitalized in the ICU do not become critical. In this study, COVID-19 prognosis was detected by using ICU admission (COVID-19 SEVERITY) and COVID-19 related death (COVID19 MORTALITY) datasets with Machine Learning (ML) methods. The missing data of the datasets were filled with K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Min-Max normalization was performed. Datasets were divided three times into training and test sets, and the data were balanced with the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE). Then, classification was carried out using Ensemble Learning (EL) methods. For COVID-19 SEVERITY and COVID-19 MORTALITY, 89.54% and 97.25% accuracy were achieved with the Adaboost classifier, respectively. Successful and rapid COVID-19 prognosis detection with ML methods will help to use the ICU more efficiently and relieve the pressure on health systems.